FNUS72 KJAX 141011
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARIBBEAN CIRCLE...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
611 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0557 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING CONTINUES TODAY...ALONG WITH A MAINLY
DRY WEATHER PATTERN. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT THEN TURN TO EASTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AS AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MOVES TO NEAR THE CARIBBEAN
CIRCLE FIRE AROUND 4 PM. EAST WINDS NEAR 8 MPH WITH GUSTS OF ABOUT
12 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND AGAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........38     42     47     50     55     45
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY                      S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP............58     58     67     76     80     81
RH..............97     95     76     58     46     44
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 1    NE 2   ENE 5  ENE 6   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.              5             10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2400   4000   5600   5600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 2   SE 2   E 3    E 6    NE 7   E 9
DISPERSION INDX.1      2      11     16     30     58
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........40     32     24     24     22     22
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     71     65     63     60     58
RH..............48     66     79     87     94     98
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 6    E 5    E 2    E 1    NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   400    300    300    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    E 10   E 8    E 5    SE 3   E 5
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
DISPERSION INDX.43     5      4      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120314.CARIB.01/JAX