FNUS73 KJKL 141015 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR WALLOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 615 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN U.S. BRINGS WARMER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH INCREASING DEW PTS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REENGAGE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET. AN ENERGIZING MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRAVERSING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO ERN KY LATE TONIGHT TOWARDS DAWN ON THURSDAY...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AROUND 4-8 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 4-8 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 8100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33 AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 59. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........5 7 9 14 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 69 75 79 78 RH..............73 56 48 43 45 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 0-5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 0-5 MPH. POP.................40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........17 17 17 16 26 36 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 67 63 60 59 57 RH..............55 64 73 81 85 90 20 FT WIND......S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 ABOVE MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....28. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........77 82 88 92 83 75 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............55 61 68 73 75 75 RH..............100 88 73 62 55 53 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BECKER REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.BEARW.01/JKL