FNUS73 KLOT 141321 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR MNOKE PRAIRIE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 821 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...TURNING JUST SLIGHTLY WEST OF SOUTH AS THEY DO. NO LAKE BREEZE IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY...WITH MOISTURE ALSO STEERED NORTH ALLOWING HUMIDITY TO ONLY DROP TO AROUND 55 PERCENT DESPITE THE NEAR RECORD TO RECORD WARMTH. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OR STORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA THIS EVENING. NOTE...REQUEST WAS MADE FOR MIXING HEIGHT TEMPERATURES. MIXING HEIGHTS IN FT ARE PROVIDED WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TEMPERATURES. IF MORE DATA IS NEEDED...PLEASE CONTACT THE NWS OFFICE IN CHICAGO. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3600-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /17700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY GOOD /117000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........6 7 9 11 16 21 25 30 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 62 65 68 69 70 72 72 70 RH..............76 73 68 61 61 59 54 54 59 20FT WIND DIR...190 190 190 200 200 200 200 200 200 20FT SPEED(MPH).10 10 12 12 12 13 13 12 10 20FT SPEED(KT)..9 9 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 20FT GUST(MPH)..18 22 22 22 23 24 25 25 23 20FT GUST(KT)...16 19 19 19 20 21 22 22 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 190 190 190 200 200 200 200 TRANSP WIND SPD.28 29 30 31 33 35 35 33 31 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/100018 38 60 83 97 109 117 113 86 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 29 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5300-61000 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........40 36 35 38 42 51 60 54 57 59 62 65 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............69 68 65 63 62 61 60 60 60 60 59 58 RH..............66 68 75 81 84 87 93 90 90 90 90 93 20FT WIND DIR...200 190 190 190 190 200 200 200 180 180 180 190 20FT SPEED(MPH).9 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 20FT SPEED(KT)..8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 20FT GUST(MPH)..18 17 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 15 15 16 20FT GUST(KT)...16 15 14 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 13 14 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 190 190 190 200 200 200 180 180 180 180 TRANSP WIND SPD.29 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 25 24 24 24 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VRATE KT-FT/100061 39 23 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600-9600 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........67 77 73 69 65 61 57 58 59 61 62 63 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF TEMP............57 59 61 63 66 68 68 64 60 57 54 52 RH..............93 90 87 81 75 73 70 75 78 80 86 89 20FT WIND DIR...190 190 190 190 200 210 220 240 290 320 330 350 20FT SPEED(MPH).8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 20FT SPEED(KT)..7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..16 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 10 12 14 20FT GUST(KT)...14 14 13 13 12 12 11 10 9 9 10 12 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 190 190 200 210 210 240 290 320 330 350 TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 24 23 22 21 20 18 18 20 20 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 VRATE KT-FT/10005 5 5 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN REQUESTED BY...NEAL MULCONREY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.MNOKE.01/LOT