FNUS73 KLSX 141219
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
719 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND WILL BECOME
GUSTY BY MIDDAY.  THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING WARM...MOIST...AND
UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE AREA AND RESULT IN A THREAT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WIND SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4800 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (18209 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120314.MARKT.01/LSX