FNUS72 KMFL 141404
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR J HULL - BEAR PEN...JIM HULL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1004 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1005 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS INDUCING EAST FLOW
OVER THE REGION. BANKS OF STRATOCUMULUS WILL DOMINATE THE SKY TODAY. AT ANY GIVEN
TIME EXPECT ABOUT HALF OF THE SKY COVERED BY CLOUDS WITH LOTS OF BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS
AND CONSTANT CHANGING CONDITIONS BETWEEN SUN AND SHADE. A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE
TODAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. AN AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE EAST
OF THE BAHAMAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO OUR GENERAL AREA FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN SHOWERS, BUT NOT A WIDESPREAD INCREASE, IS FORECAST WITH THESE
AREA OF MOISTURE. GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION VALUES OR LDSI IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY UNDER
THE EFFECT OF THE MARITIME AIR MASS. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE
45 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........39     39     57     57     57     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77     82     84     84     82     75
RH..............71     54     47     49     58     73
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 5   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   2700   4000   4000   4000   2800
MIXNG WIND......NE 9   NE 9   E 12   E 13   E 13   E 12
DISPERSION IDX..42     42     44     45     45     10
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      9      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ESTUPINAN
REQUESTED BY...JIM HULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120314.JHULL.03/MFL