FNUS73 KPAH 141423 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS BLOCK C...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 923 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... PARTLY SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES QUITE UNSTABLE. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION... BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1800-2200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TO 3000-4000 FT AGL MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............68 71 74 76 77 77 77 76 75 RH..............68 62 58 52 47 43 40 44 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 15 20 20 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 21 CWR.............0 0 0 10 20 30 30 20 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 70 68 66 65 64 RH..............57 66 73 84 84 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 BLW100 100 300 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 23 SW 24 SW 25 SW 24 SW 22 CWR.............10 10 20 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-3200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 68 74 76 RH..............90 81 66 58 20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 6G10 SW 8G15 SW 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1900 3200 2700 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 21 SW 21 SW 21 CWR.............50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...DENNIS B WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.CROSS.01/PAH