FNUS73 KPAH 141529 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MURPHYSBORO HILL P...ILLINOIS DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1029 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... PARTLY SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES QUITE UNSTABLE. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION... BECOMING SOUTH 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1800-2200 FT AGL IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TO AROUND 3000 FT AGL MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............72 75 77 79 80 80 79 78 RH..............71 63 54 48 44 44 50 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 12 12 12 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 20 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 23 23 24 24 25 CWR.............0 0 20 20 20 20 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 71 68 67 65 63 RH..............58 68 73 81 84 90 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2200 1200 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 SW 26 SW 26 SW 25 SW 22 SW 17 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 68 73 76 RH..............90 78 68 60 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 SW 6G15 SW 9G20 SW 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2200 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 18 SW 24 SW 25 CWR.............50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.LAKEM.01/PAH