FNUS73 KPAH 141505 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEEZIE PEAVINE RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1005 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES QUITE UNSTABLE. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION... BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...THEN 2100-2400 FT AGL MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............71 74 77 79 79 78 77 RH..............50 44 37 32 32 38 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 24 25 28 29 CWR.............10 30 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 71 68 66 64 63 RH..............55 61 68 78 81 84 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1400 1000 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 30 SW 31 SW 31 SW 31 SW 31 SW 30 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 68 74 77 RH..............87 76 64 52 20 FT WIND......SW 4G5 SW 5G10 SW 6G10 SW 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 3200 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 29 SW 24 SW 22 SW 24 CWR.............50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...AARON MIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.SWEEZ.01/PAH