FNUS71 KRNK 141531 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN RX...USDA FS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1131 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1120 EDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN THE NEAR TERM...20 FT WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINATELY LIGHT AND VARIABLE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 5 MPH BY THE MID AFTERNOON WITH THE DIRECTION BECOMING PREDOMINATELY WESTERLY. OROGRAPHICAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...WITH A VERY ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE BETWEEN 400 PM AND 600 PM. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY...AND DISSIPATE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FRIDAY. MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) TRENDING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THIS AFTERNOON. VERY ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING WEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............7 16 27 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 68 70 71 RH..................57 49 44 43 20 FT WIND..........NW 1 W 3 W 4 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 CWR.................0 0 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............32 24 15 14 3 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 63 60 58 56 54 RH..................46 54 58 62 66 69 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 3 W 3 W 3 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............17 15 12 34 63 75 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................52 49 56 61 65 68 RH..................73 86 71 62 56 51 20 FT WIND..........W 2 SW 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 CWR.................10 10 10 10 20 30 $$ FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY PENNINGTON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.HORSE.02/RNK