FNUS75 KBOU 151617 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK SURVEY...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1017 AM MDT THU MAR 15 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THIS MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BY THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SOME SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY SUNNY(35%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MIN HUMIDITY........21-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7200-8200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(35%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58. MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 37-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/15-10 45 0 0 33 35 W 9 14 2 1 W23 2417 W15 31085 P 03/15-11 45 0 0 40 29 W 8 13 2 1 W23 4308 W15 55082 F 03/15-12 20 0 0 45 27 SW 8 13 2 1 W23 6199 W15 79079 G 03/15-13 20 0 0 48 24 SW 8 14 2 1 W23 7015 W16 99225 G 03/15-14 20 0 0 50 22 SW 9 14 2 1 W24 7832 W17 119370 V 03/15-15 23 0 0 50 21 SW 9 15 2 1 W24 8648 W18 139515 V 03/15-16 23 0 0 50 22 SW 9 15 2 1 W25 8018 W20 133931 V 03/15-17 23 0 0 49 23 SW 9 14 2 1 W25 7388 W20 128347 V 03/15-18 29 0 0 48 23 W 8 13 2 1 W25 6758 W21 122764 V 03/15-19 29 0 0 45 27 W 7 7 2 1 W25 5570 W20 97087 G 03/15-20 29 0 0 42 30 SW 6 6 2 1 W24 4381 W18 71411 G 03/15-21 29 0 0 40 34 SW 6 6 2 1 SW24 3193 W16 45735 F 03/15-22 29 0 0 38 36 SW 6 6 2 1 W24 2665 W16 38217 P 03/15-23 29 0 0 37 38 SW 7 7 3 1 W25 2138 SW16 30700 P 03/16-00 15 0 0 36 39 SW 8 13 3 1 W26 1610 SW16 23183 P 03/16-01 15 0 0 35 40 SW 9 14 3 1 W26 1316 SW17 19440 P 03/16-02 15 0 0 33 40 W 9 15 3 1 W28 1023 SW18 15697 P 03/16-03 15 0 0 33 39 W10 16 3 1 SW28 729 SW18 11954 P 03/16-04 15 0 0 33 37 W12 18 3 1 SW29 621 SW20 10285 P 03/16-05 15 0 0 33 35 W13 21 4 1 SW29 512 W20 8617 P 03/16-06 15 0 0 31 36 W14 22 4 1 SW29 404 W20 6948 P 03/16-07 15 0 0 30 37 W15 23 4 1 SW28 475 W22 9045 P 03/16-08 15 0 0 30 38 SW15 24 3 1 W26 546 W23 11142 P 03/16-09 15 0 0 31 38 SW15 24 2 1 W24 617 W24 13239 P 03/16-10 15 0 0 37 32 SW15 22 2 1 W25 2982 W31 103343 V 03/16-11 15 0 0 45 23 SW15 22 2 1 W29 5346 W37 193447 E 03/16-12 15 0 0 51 19 SW15 23 2 1 W33 7711 W43 283550 E 03/16-13 15 0 0 54 16 SW16 25 2 1 SW36 8777 W43 320445 E 03/16-14 15 0 0 57 15 SW18 28 2 1 SW38 9842 W41 357340 E 03/16-15 15 0 0 58 14 SW20 30 2 1 SW40 10908 W41 394235 E 03/16-16 15 0 0 57 14 SW20 29 2 1 SW43 10387 W41 374147 E 03/16-17 15 0 0 56 15 SW18 28 2 1 SW44 9867 W41 354059 E 03/16-18 15 0 0 55 16 SW17 26 2 1 W45 9346 W41 333971 E 03/16-19 15 0 0 51 19 SW15 23 2 1 W43 7705 W38 263962 E 03/16-20 15 0 0 48 22 SW14 21 2 1 W40 6065 SW36 193953 E 03/16-21 15 0 0 44 26 SW13 20 2 1 W37 4424 SW32 123944 V 03/16-22 15 0 0 42 28 SW13 20 2 1 W33 3758 SW31 103489 V 03/16-23 15 0 0 41 29 SW14 21 2 1 W29 3092 SW31 83034 G 03/17-00 15 0 0 39 30 SW15 23 2 1 W25 2427 SW30 62579 G 03/17-01 15 0 0 38 31 SW16 23 2 1 SW24 2078 SW31 55096 F 03/17-02 15 0 0 37 32 SW16 24 2 1 SW23 1730 SW32 47614 F 03/17-03 15 0 0 36 33 SW16 24 2 1 SW23 1382 SW33 40131 F 03/17-04 15 0 0 36 32 SW16 23 2 1 SW24 1138 SW30 31311 P 03/17-05 15 0 0 36 32 SW15 23 3 1 S24 894 SW28 22490 P 03/17-06 15 0 0 33 35 SW15 23 3 1 S25 650 SW24 13670 P 03/17-07 15 0 0 32 36 SW15 23 3 1 S24 870 SW24 18811 P 03/17-08 15 0 0 33 36 SW16 24 3 1 S24 1090 SW25 23951 P 03/17-09 15 0 0 34 35 SW17 26 3 1 S24 1310 SW25 29091 P 03/17-10 15 0 0 38 29 SW17 26 3 1 S29 4118 SW29 116233 V 03/17-11 15 0 0 46 22 SW18 28 2 1 S35 6927 SW31 203375 E 03/17-12 20 0 0 51 19 S18 28 2 1 SW39 9735 SW35 290517 E 03/17-13 20 0 0 55 17 SW18 28 2 1 SW41 10677 SW35 323964 E 03/17-14 20 0 0 57 16 SW18 28 2 1 SW41 11619 SW36 357412 E 03/17-15 20 0 0 58 16 SW18 28 2 1 SW41 12561 SW36 390859 E 03/17-16 20 0 0 57 17 SW18 28 2 1 SW45 11762 SW36 362516 E 03/17-17 20 0 0 56 18 SW18 26 2 1 SW48 10964 SW35 334172 E 03/17-18 34 3 1 55 18 SW17 26 2 1 SW49 10165 SW35 305828 E 03/17-19 34 3 1 51 21 SW16 24 2 1 SW49 8699 SW31 244394 E 03/17-20 34 3 1 48 23 SW14 22 2 1 SW47 7233 SW28 182959 E 03/17-21 34 3 1 45 26 SW13 20 2 1 S46 5767 SW24 121525 V 03/17-22 34 3 1 43 28 SW10 16 2 1 S45 5096 SW29 123977 V 03/17-23 34 3 1 42 29 SW 9 9 2 1 S46 4424 SW35 126429 V 03/18-00 34 5 1 41 30 SW 8 8 2 1 S48 3752 SW39 128882 V 03/18-01 34 5 1 39 32 SW 8 8 2 1 S54 3751 SW39 128396 V 03/18-02 34 5 1 38 33 SW 9 9 2 1 S60 3750 SW39 127910 V 03/18-03 34 5 1 37 34 SW10 16 2 1 S66 3750 SW39 127424 V 03/18-04 34 5 1 37 34 SW12 17 2 1 S68 3438 SW39 118081 V 03/18-05 34 5 1 37 34 SW13 20 2 1 S69 3126 SW40 108739 V 03/18-06 43 6 1 35 37 SW14 21 2 1 S69 2814 SW40 99397 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DM DEPAUW REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120315.ELK__.01/BOU