FNUS74 KEPZ 151506
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SNARE MESA SOUTH RX...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
906 AM MDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 MDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
VERY WARM AND DRY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT DURING THE
MORNING AND OVERNIGHT THEN PICKING UP A BIT EACH AFTERNOON...
BUT NOT REACHING THE BREEZY CATEGORY. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES TODAY
AND FRIDAY WITH ONLY A FEW PERIODS OF MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
WITH LOW (4) TO MODERATE (5) HAINES INDICES. VENTILATION POOR
THIS MORNING INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY TO
PERHAPS WINDY SATURDAY AS A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACH. INCREASING WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY MAY CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY.
THIS SYSTEM COULD ALSO BRING HIGH WINDS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY
ALONG WITH THE CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AND CONTINUED BREEZY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
AS THAT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH THIS MORNING...SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 KTS THIS MORNING...SOUTHWEST 8 KTS
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........POOR INTO MIDDAY...THEN FAIR(44000 KNOT-FT)
                    THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD (60000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.SNARE.01/EPZ