FNUS75 KGJT 160439
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE MILE...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1039 PM MDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2050 MDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAYS WEATHER PATTERN IS VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS. THE MODELS
INDICATE A RELATIVELY LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR DURANGO. AS A RESULT EXPECT
WINDS AT THE BURN SITE TO BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH
INFLUENCE FROM THE SNOW COVERED MOUNTAINS TO THE NORTH COMBINED WITH
WEAK CIRCULATION AROUND THE SURFACE HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%) AFTERNOON. MAINLY MID/HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    5-10 MPH. BECOMING NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH AFTER 1330
                    ...MAY BE BRIEFLY OVERPOWERED AT TIMES BY
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (162700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (109900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (12000-20200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%). INCREASING AFTERNOON
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.ONEMI.02/GJT