FNUS73 KLSX 151434
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROEMMELSIEK PARK...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
934 AM CDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS WELL.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WIND 7 TO 11 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10589 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0500...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 2 TO 4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8594 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.BROEM.01/LSX