FNUS73 KLSX 151423
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAMILTON HOLLOW-SOUTH...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
923 AM CDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS WELL.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WIND 8 TO 11 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (12694 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0500...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 2 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    6 TO 11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8861 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.HAMIL.01/LSX