FNUS71 KLWX 151014
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH NEW ROAD RUN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
614 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
UNUSUALLY WARM CONDITIONS TODAY. AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
PASS THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...BRINGING THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE BOUNDARY SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MORE UNUSUALLY WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8700-10200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........38     53     73     76
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     62     64     65
RH..............55     56     48     46
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            10
CWR.............10     10     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........78     79     78     77     76     73
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     61     58     57     55     55
RH..............52     60     72     75     77     80
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 7    W 7    W 7    W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     15
CWR.............40     40     40     40     40     40

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........71     72     68     67     69     72
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     54     60     64     67     68
RH..............86     85     75     65     52     51
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 4    W 4    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
CWR.............40     30     30     30     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...GOLDSTEIN
REQUESTED BY...JOE EMSWILER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.NORTH.01/LWX