FNUS72 KMFL 152017
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH 41 RX...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
417 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
THIS EVENING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
BURN SITE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE
TROUGH CONTINUES WEST INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER, A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT DUE TO THE
PROXIMITY OF THE TROUGH AND PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE ABUNDANT
CLOUD COVER AND LOW LEVEL MIXING BUT THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY
SHALLOW FOG ESPECIALLY IF THE CLOUD COVER DISSIPATES LATER
TONIGHT AND THE LOW LEVEL WIND DIMINISHES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM
SKY (%).........60     60     60     60     60     40
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............83     80     76     74     72     70
RH..............58     64     71     73     77     82
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 8    NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   3500   700    700    700    600
MIXNG WIND......E 14   E 13   NE 13  NE 13  NE 9   NE 7
DISPERSION IDX..38     33     11     11     9      5
LVORI...........1      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...LIEUTENANT BILLY RIPPY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.SOUTH.02/MFL