FNUS72 KMHX 151131 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR ISLAND CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 731 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0745 EDT ON MARCH 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY AND EXTEND OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL DRIFT INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THEN STALL AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 8900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............4 5 10 15 18 26 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 61 72 79 81 80 RH..................93 80 61 45 39 39 20 FT WIND..........S 0 S 1 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 12 LVORI...............8 5 3 2 2 1 ADI.................1 2 6 25 26 39 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............29 35 43 53 60 59 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................78 70 66 63 60 58 RH..................43 59 68 75 84 90 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....12 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 5 5 ADI.................41 10 7 5 5 6 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 56 58 61 62 64 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................57 57 66 75 79 80 RH..................96 100 75 55 49 47 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 4 SW 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 17 15 LVORI...............6 8 4 1 1 1 ADI.................7 7 11 52 56 50 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120315.ISLAN.01/MHX