FNUS75 KPUB 150942
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK DRAINAGE BURN...LAMAR FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
342 AM MDT THU MAR 15 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

DUE TO GOOD MIXING ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES...COULD SEE
A WIND GUST OR TWO HITTING NEAR 20 MPH TODAY.  BUT...FOR THE MOST PART
...WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT TODAY AND GENERALLY LESS THAN YESTERDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD OR PERSISTENT
ENOUGH TO MEET FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.  REGARDLESS...CAUTION
IS STILL ADVISED WITH ANY BURNING DUE TO THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH THROUGH 1500...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH THROUGH 1800.
                    A GUST OR TWO NEAR 20 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300. 9000 FT AGL AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO WEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...CAPTAIN BURKHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.WILLO.03/PUB