FNUS75 KTWC 151746
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY FLAT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1046 AM MST THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
INCLUDING THE TURKEY FLAT PRESCRIBED BURN AREA.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY AS DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AND 20-FOOT WIND
SPEEDS WILL APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY BUT INCREASED MOISTURE WILL LIKELY PREVENT
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FROM OCCURRING. THEREAFTER...VALLEY
RAIN...MOUNTAIN SNOW AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR
MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 TO 12 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35 TO 40 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/ DOWNVALLEY
                    3 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 TO 64 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........5 TO 10 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...SARA SEXSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120315.TURKE.02/TWC