FNUS75 KBYZ 161848
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER RIVER ROAD FIRE...CARBON COUNTY DES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1248 PM MDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1215 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT BRINGS A SHIFT IN WINDS
TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE RIVER BOTTOM...AND TO THE WEST AT RIDGETOPS.
EXPECT GUSTS TO 35 MPH. LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY
OCCUR AT THE FIRE SITE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BE FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY...AND
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL ONLY BE 45 OR 50 PERCENT. SCHULTZ/BORSUM

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON. EXPECT GUSTS TO
                    35 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHULTZ/BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...DARREL M  KRUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120316.LOWER.01/BYZ