FNUS73 KDMX 161449
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO PASTURE...BIA MIDWEST REGIONAL OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
949 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1005 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF FOG WILL DISSIPATE THIS MORNING WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY.  WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING FROM THE SOUTH AS
MIXING DEEPENS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 24 MPH
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (80000-143300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........47  46  45  44  44  45  46  47  48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67  70  73  75  76  78  79  78  77
RH..............73  66  57  54  52  50  49  50  52
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   10  13  15  16  15  13
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  15  15  20  25  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   6   7   9   11  11  11  9
EYE LVL WND GST.        10  15  15  20  25  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 2.4 3.7 5.0 5.7 6.5 7.2 5.1 3.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   12  16  21  23  24  23  22  20
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...MARTY CASSELLIUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.BUFFA.01/DMX