FNUS73 KDMX 161328 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLERTON BESH SAFE...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 828 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... AREAS OF SHALLOW FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF WITH THE RISING SUN THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SOME CLOUDS STREAMING OUT OF KANSAS LATER IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY BUT MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO BE HIGHER. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE THE NORM ONCE AGAIN TODAY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300-4200 KNOT-FT) AT IGNITION INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50000-125100 KNOT-FT) BY THE MID AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........55 49 44 41 42 44 46 47 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............66 69 72 74 75 77 78 77 76 RH..............78 70 61 57 55 54 52 54 54 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 12 13 14 16 16 15 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 9 9 10 11 11 11 10 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 2.2 3.8 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0 4.1 2.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..12 14 17 20 22 23 24 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-10500 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........50 52 55 57 61 67 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............74 70 68 66 64 62 RH..............57 68 73 81 84 90 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 12 S 13 S 14 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 9 S 9 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 300 300 300 500 600 MIXNG WIND......S 24 S 22 S 17 S 14 S 13 S 14 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9800-21700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48700-118000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........72 64 57 51 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............62 66 73 77 RH..............90 81 66 56 20 FT WIND......S 13G15 S 16G25 S 18G25 S 20G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9G15 S 11G25 S 13G25 S 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1400 4200 4500 MIXNG WIND......S 18 S 24 S 29 S 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...SKOW REQUESTED BY...JOSH RUSK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.KELLE.01/DMX