FNUS73 KDVN 161334
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLEASANT CREEK MSU...UPPER MISS-SAVANNA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
834 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK WARM FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA AND THE
WISCONSIN AND ILLINOIS BORDER REGION THIS MORNING...AND WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH DURING THE DAY TODAY...TO STAY THERE
FOR SATURDAY.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WIDESPREAD...ORGANIZED
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOIST WITH MINIMUM RH LEVELS GENERALLY
50-60 PERCENT.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5200
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 22 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND
                    12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     73     76     76
RH..............75     57     54     56
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5    S 7    S 7    S 6
EYE LVL WND GST.       15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   6100   7000   5200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12   S 20   S 22   S 16
HAINES INDEX....4      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JDH
REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL ENGELKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.PLEAS.01/DVN