FNUS73 KEAX 161524 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR PATROL MOP-UP...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1024 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO AT LEAST PARTIALLY OVERSPREAD THE BURN AREA LATE THIS MORNING...AND MAY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON...BOTH LIMITING THE TEMPERATURE INCREASE AND THE WIND GUST POTENTIAL. ONCE CLOUDS BURN OFF SUFFICIENTLY AND TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE MID AND UPPER 70S...A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE BURN AREA CAN BE CONSIDERED ISOLATED...AT LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........47 53 52 58 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 75 80 80 RH..............77 66 55 53 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 16 S 16 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........54 55 55 54 61 68 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............77 71 69 67 65 64 RH..............59 69 74 77 81 84 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........75 76 77 77 69 61 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 66 70 74 76 76 RH..............86 81 70 63 59 58 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 14 S 16 S 18 S 18 S 17 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BOOKBINDER REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.PATRO.01/EAX