FNUS74 KEPZ 161525
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SNARE MESA SOUTH RX...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
925 AM MDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
VERY WARM AND DRY TODAY WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT THIS MORNING THEN
PICKING UP A BIT FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE (5)
HAINES INDEX. BREEZY TO WINDY SATURDAY AS A STRONG PACIFIC
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACH.
THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
COULD ALSO BRING HIGH WINDS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY ALONG WITH
THE CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
COLDER AND CONTINUED BREEZY TUESDAY AS THAT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES OUT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD (90000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    NEAR 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT (160000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.SNARE.01/EPZ