FNUS72 KFFC 152005
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 158 159...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
405 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FOR THE FIRE SITE...ACTUALLY STILL COULD BE SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
TONIGHT WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR FRIDAY...A BETTER
CHANCE NEAR 40 PERCENT AND MAINLY AFTERNOON FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED OVER
FLORIDA...ALLOWING FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP
LOCALLY. EXPECT THIS CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...MAINLY
OVER NORTH GEORGIA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN ON
FRIDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND AGAIN MAINLY OVER
NORTH GEORGIA. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AND WINDS WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS
OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15.
DISPERSION INDEX....71 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........63     63     61     61
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     75     79     81
RH..............73     62     53     47
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5
DISPERSION IDX..72     56     37     28
LVORI...........3      1      1      2
CWR.............40     40     40     40

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8
                    TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............5.

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...TIM KOLNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.COMP1.01/FFC