FNUS73 KLOT 161423 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR HOBART PRAIRIE GROVE 2...INDIANA DUNES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 923 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CONDITIONS WILL BE WARM AND MOSTLY SUNNY INLAND...BUT WILL BE MUCH COOLER AT THE LAKE FRONT. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA SOUTH OF THE FRONT WHERE WARM...MORE HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 4900-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /22000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /71100 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........5 8 11 25 38 52 52 51 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............69 72 74 76 78 78 78 76 RH..............67 62 58 55 52 52 52 56 20FT WIND DIR...200 200 200 200 200 190 190 180 20FT SPEED(MPH).5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 20FT SPEED(KT)..4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 8 7 7 8 10 10 8 20FT GUST(KT)...9 7 6 6 7 9 9 7 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.9 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.2 3.6 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 200 200 190 210 190 180 TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 10 12 13 10 14 13 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/100011 22 34 52 67 71 54 28 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........52 51 51 50 48 47 45 47 49 51 53 55 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............74 73 71 69 67 65 64 63 62 61 59 58 RH..............59 62 66 68 73 75 78 81 81 84 90 93 20FT WIND DIR...180 180 180 180 190 190 190 190 190 180 180 180 20FT SPEED(MPH).4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 20FT SPEED(KT)..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 20FT GUST(MPH)..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 20FT GUST(KT)...5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 180 180 190 190 190 190 180 180 180 180 TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 15 16 16 16 15 14 13 12 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-1300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........57 56 56 55 54 54 53 54 56 57 58 60 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 61 66 71 74 77 79 80 80 79 78 76 RH..............93 84 73 63 59 56 54 52 51 52 52 56 20FT WIND DIR...180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 170 20FT SPEED(MPH).4 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 20FT SPEED(KT)..3 4 4 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 20FT GUST(MPH)..6 8 10 13 16 18 20 21 21 20 17 15 20FT GUST(KT)...5 7 9 11 14 16 17 18 18 17 15 13 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 3.5 5.6 7.7 8.3 8.8 9.3 6.4 3.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 170 TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 17 21 23 25 28 28 28 28 26 24 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KREIN REQUESTED BY...NATE ORSBURN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.HOBAR.01/LOT