FNUS72 KMFL 161603
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR J  HULL-BEAR PEN...JIM HULL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1203 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1220 EDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THEM COULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO
MAKE IT TO THE BURN SITE...BUT THEIR INTENSITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO
BE SIGNIFICANT. A LIGHT AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE
AREA WELL MOIST THEREFORE...NO CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED. DISPERSION
INDICES WILL REMAIN IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE TODAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........45     56     56     56     38     38
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............82     83     82     80     75     72
RH..............56     49     53     59     71     78
20 FT WIND......NE 5   E 8    E 8    E 7    E 6    NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   4000   4000   3700   2200   2200
MIXNG WIND......NE 10  E 14   E 14   E 14   E 10   NE 10
DISPERSION IDX..38     38     38     36     7      7
LVORI...........1      1      1      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...RIVERA
REQUESTED BY...JIM HULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.JHULL.01/MFL