FNUS72 KMHX 161140 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED RUN...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 740 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE TODAY AND LINGER NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............63 68 66 68 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................60 70 75 78 77 RH..................90 71 58 50 52 20 FT WIND..........S 4 SW 6 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 3 1 1 1 ADI.................9 23 44 53 50 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............70 71 72 74 76 76 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................75 69 65 63 61 60 RH..................55 68 78 84 90 90 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 6 6 ADI.................39 10 8 5 3 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............77 78 77 75 74 74 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................59 59 65 71 74 75 RH..................93 93 78 63 57 58 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............6 6 4 2 2 2 ADI.................3 8 9 11 15 17 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.CROOK.01/MHX