FNUS73 KMKX 161048 FWSMKX SPOT FORECAST FOR FREDRICKS HILL-P L...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 548 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING WITH THE STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. DRIER DEWPOINTS HAVE PUSHED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THEREFORE THE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG POTENTIAL IS NOT AS HIGH FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. STRATUS HAS PUSHED INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN WITH SOME DENSE FOG MAINLY IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST TIP. LATER THIS MORNING SURFACE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST AND SHOULD SPREAD MORE STRATUS INLAND NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AS THE STATIONARY FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. THE WINDS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL KEEP THE FRONT TO THE SOUTH OF THE ILLINOIS BORDER TODAY IN THE FAR EAST...BUT TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL RISE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THERE WILL BE A STRONG TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THE WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR WILL PUSH NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH SOUTH WINDS. EXPECT CONTINUED VERY MILD TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH MORE RECORDS LIKELY TO BE BROKEN. THERE WILL BE SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH THE WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN PLACE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /29800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /43600 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (61500-97200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 71 75 73 RH..............63 55 48 52 20 FT WIND......SE 5 S 6 S 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-33700 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR FOG FOG TEMP............72 68 64 62 62 61 RH..............61 73 81 87 87 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...HENTZ REQUESTED BY...DEREK CASBON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.FREDR.01/MKX