FNUS73 KMPX 161244
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER PARK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL START OUT EASTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING BUT GRADUALLY
SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST BEFORE THE NOON HOUR. THOSE SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL ADVECT MORE MOISTURE OVER THE BURN SITE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...SO THE LOWEST RH VALUES WILL ACTUALLY BE LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEED WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH ARE CERTAINLY
POSSIBLE AFTER 12-1PM TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-41000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20
                    TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     58     67     71     72     69
RH..............61     49     43     51     57     66
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 6   SE 7   S 9    S 9    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 21 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7400-48800) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (59200-83300) LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...JOEL KEMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.DEERP.01/MPX