FNUS73 KMPX 161244
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOWE LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE MORNING IN RESPONSE
TO A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS
OVER 20 MPH. RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY UP INTO THE LOWER 70S.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO GIVE WAY THIS MORNING...WITH HUMIDITIES
EXPECTED DOWN INTO THE 30S BY NOON...BUT SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON WILL SEE THE HUMIDITIES RISE BACK ABOVE 40 PERCENT BY 5 PM.
VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY...EXCEPT WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER
LEVELS OF HUMIDITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3400-40400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     54     65     70     71     70
RH..............49     42     38     39     44     51
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 9   SE 12  S 14   S 14   SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     25     25     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      6      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-42100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-49600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (54000-62900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...TROY BOSCHEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.STOWE.01/MPX