FNUS75 KPUB 151330
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINELLO RANCH RX 2012...COLORADO SPRINGS UTILITIES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
730 AM MDT THU MAR 15 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE DANGER ESCALATING...

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH FRIDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

DUE TO GOOD MIXING ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES...COULD SEE
A WIND GUST OR TWO HITTING NEAR 20 MPH TODAY.  FRIDAY...WIND SPEEDS
WILL INCREASE...WITH GUST POTENTIAL UP TO ABOUT 25 MPH.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS BOTH TODAY
AND FRIDAY.  WINDS WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD OR PERSISTENT ENOUGH TO
MEET FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA TODAY.  HOWEVER...CAUTION
IS STILL ADVISED WITH ANY BURNING DUE TO THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS.

FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE NOT CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WITH THE INCREASING WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED...THIS MAY CHANGE
PENDING LATER MODEL DATA.  IN ANY EVENT...CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH
CRITICAL LEVELS ON FRIDAY AND CAUTION WITH ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MIGHT
INVOLVE BURNING IS STRONGLY ADVISED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    8 TO 18 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 1000. 9000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40F.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-8 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 12-22 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A
                    FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 1000. 15500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120316.PINEL.01/PUB