FNUS74 KTSA 161615 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHORES LAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1115 AM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50 PERCENT RANGE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............74 77 79 80 81 82 DEWPT...........61 60 60 59 59 59 RH..............63 57 52 49 47 46 20FT WIND DIR...S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..7 9 8 8 7 7 20FT GUST(MPH)..15 15 15 15 15 10 CLOUDS (%)......60 52 53 54 55 54 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..046 059 065 066 066 066 TR WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW SW TR WIND SPD(MPH)16 18 20 20 20 20 STABILITY.......B C B C C D 1700FT MIX T (F)75 77 78 80 81 81 VENT/1000(M 3/S)010 014 018 018 018 018 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............81 79 74 71 69 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 DEWPT...........58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 RH..............46 49 57 63 67 71 74 77 81 83 85 88 20FT WIND DIR...S S S S S S S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 CLOUDS (%)......52 50 65 65 95 95 95 95 95 95 92 92 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..065 060 048 034 021 014 010 007 005 004 004 003 TR WIND DIR.....SW SW S S S S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)21 21 18 16 14 13 12 10 8 7 6 5 STABILITY.......E F F F F F F F F F F F 1700FT MIX T (F)80 79 75 72 69 70 72 73 73 73 73 73 VENT/1000(M 3/S)019 017 012 007 004 002 002 001 001 000 000 000 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............60 60 60 62 65 68 70 72 74 75 76 76 DEWPT...........58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 58 57 57 RH..............91 92 93 87 79 72 66 62 58 55 53 52 20FT WIND DIR...SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..4 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 20FT GUST(MPH)..5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 CLOUDS (%)......92 100 100 100 74 74 74 67 67 67 76 76 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..002 002 003 006 012 026 042 054 059 060 058 059 TR WIND DIR.....SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)5 6 8 12 14 17 21 23 24 24 24 25 STABILITY.......F F E D C C B C C C C D 1700FT MIX T (F)73 73 73 73 72 72 72 72 73 75 76 76 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 000 001 002 006 012 017 019 020 019 020 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .MONDAY... CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI REQUESTED BY...DEBBIE PALMER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120316.SHORE.01/TSA