FNUS74 KBMX 172339
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 136...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
639 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1921 CDT ON MARCH 17.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS FOR SHORT TERM...TRANSPORT WINDS SHOULD STAY SOUTHERLY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 10 MPH
UNTIL 10 PM...WHEN THEY DROP TO AROUND 7 MPH. OVERNIGHT THEY WILL
DROP OFF TO LESS THAN 5 MPH...AND REMAIN LIGHT UNTIL LATE MORNING.
AT THAT POINT THEY WILL INCREASE BACK TO 10 MPH AND GREATER ALONG
WITH A SHIFT FROM THE SW. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE
GROUND MOISTURE HAS REALLY DRIED OUT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.
MIXING HEIGHTS DO DROP OFF TO LESS THAN 500 FEET...SO COULD BE
RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES NEAR THE SITE DUE TO AN INVERSION EXPECTED
TO SET UP AGAIN BY THE MORNING. THIS WOULD BREAK BETWEEN 8 AND
10 AM SHOULD IT DEVELOP.

RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AROUND 20-25 MPH AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
TO BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     71     67     64     61     60
RH..............43     63     75     79     89     90
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 1    S 1    SW 1   S 1    SE 1
MIX HGT (FT)....5900   3400   400    400    400    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13   S 10   S 6    S 8    S 7    S 3
DISPERSION......73     43     2      4      3      2

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     60     68     74     79     84
RH..............93     87     73     54     43     34
20 FT WIND......E 0    E 0    SE 2   S 5    S 6    S 6
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 900    3000   5400   6800   6600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 2    S 5    SW 8   SW 10  SW 12  SW 10
DISPERSION......1      2      4      64     84     75

$$
FORECASTER...JAARON
REQUESTED BY...JACOB THELEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120317.COMPA.04/BMX