FNUS75 KGJT 171659
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SVENGALI SAR...NPS _ CANY NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1059 AM MDT SAT MAR 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1026 MDT ON MARCH 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL BE MOVING OFF THE WEST COAST INTO THE
GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND ON SUNDAY.
THE WINDS TODAY WILL BE TIED WITH BETTER MIXING SO CLOUD COVER
APPROACHING THE SITE MAY PREVENT SOME OF THE STRONGER GUSTS FROM
REACHING THE GROUND. WINDS AROUND 2000 FT AGL WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 35 TO 45 THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
APPROACHING FRONT WILL TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT ON SUNDAY AND HELP
MIX WINDS DOWN REGARDLESS OF CLOUD COVER...AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO GUST WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE TODAY...BUT MORE LIKELY ON SUNDAY WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. SHOWERS HOWEVER WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH TEMPERATURES MUCH COOLER
THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...WITH INCREASING
                    HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH.
WINDS 2000 FT AGL...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    45 MPH THIS EVENING DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WINDS 2000 FT AGL...REMAINING SOUTH AT AROUND 40 MPH .

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS 2000 FT AGL...SOUTH AROUND 45 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120317.SVENG.01/GJT