FNUS72 KILM 171850 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR TNC BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 250 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1455 EDT ON MARCH 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVELS CONTAINED IN THE RECENTLY ISSUED (212 PM) FIRE WEATHER FORECAST. FEEL FREE TO CALL WITH ANY QUESTIONS. .DISCUSSION... ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT HOLDS OVER THE AREA. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MEANDERING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARM AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION AMPLIFIES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............46. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (41975-50139 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 52 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD TEMP................78 79 RH..................54 53 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 LVORI...............1 1 ADI.................43 35 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...42 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX ADI.............30. MAX LVORI...........8. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-36225 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 65 63 62 59 60 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................76 67 64 61 60 59 RH..................62 80 87 92 96 97 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 3 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 4 5 6 8 8 ADI.................30 8 6 5 3 2 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...36 6 0 0 2 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............21. MAX LVORI...........10. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (459-27714 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 63 64 65 66 67 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................59 59 64 69 73 74 RH..................97 95 83 70 63 63 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 2 E 3 SE 4 SE 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 5 LVORI...............10 8 4 3 2 2 ADI.................2 4 11 16 20 21 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 2 10 17 24 28 $$ FORECASTER...BACON REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120317.TNCBU.03/ILM