FNUS74 KLZK 171154 CCA FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR WILEY...USFS...CORRECTED GUSTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 647 AM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH SOME THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING THEN A BIT BETTER CHANCE THIS AFTERNOON TO EVENING AS MOISTURE LEVELS SOME ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY...AND AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OVER ARKANSAS TODAY. OTHERWISE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE AROUND 4500 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE RAIN CHANCES WILL STAY UP EACH DAY AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. MORE RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE COMING WEEK AS A LARGER SYSTEM WILL BRING BRING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............71 73 74 75 76 76 76 RH..............73 67 63 60 57 56 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 12 13 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.8 11 11 14 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 7 8 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 9 11 12 12 10 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 17 17 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............75 73 71 70 68 68 67 66 65 64 64 64 RH..............57 60 65 68 72 74 76 79 82 84 86 87 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.11 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.7 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 62 64 66 68 71 73 75 77 78 78 78 RH..............89 91 88 81 74 69 63 59 57 55 54 54 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 15 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.4 7 7 7 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 7 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 5 7 9 9 10 12 12 12 10 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 13 15 17 18 20 20 18 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120317.WILEY.01/LZK