FNUS71 KOKX 170923
FWSOKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELTER ISLAND VFD TRAINING...NYSDEC FOREST RANGERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
523 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT SUNDAY MORNING WITH
HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AT THE SURFACE. BY
AFTERNOON...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL HAVE LOWERED SOME...BUT WITH A
CONTINUING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND LIMITED MIXING...MINIMUM RH VALUES
ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOW 70S DURING MID AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY (UP TO 10 MPH) AFTER 12 PM DUE
TO AN ENHANCED SEABREEZE...BUT WIND SHIFTS WILL NOT BE DRASTIC
WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW ALREADY IN PLACE.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............79  65  52  38  24  10  10  9   9
WEATHER COV.........ARS
WEATHER TYPE........FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  46  48  50  51  52  53  53  52
RH..................100 89  86  80  80  77  74  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR......230 220 220 220 210 200 200 200 200
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............9   8   8   13  17  22  27  31  36  41  46  52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  49  48  47  46  46  46  45  45  44  44  44
RH..................83  93  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR......200 200 210 210 220 220 230 240 240 240 240 240
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CWR.................0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...AL
REQUESTED BY...FOREST RANGER MICHAEL THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120318.SHELT.02/OKX