FNUS71 KOKX 171950 FWSOKX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELTER ISLAND VFD TRAINING...NYSDEC FOREST RANGERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 350 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING WITH HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AT THE SURFACE. BY AFTERNOON...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL HAVE LOWERED SOME...BUT WITH A CONTINUING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND LIMITED MIXING...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOW 70S BY MID AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY (UP TO 10 MPH) AFTER 12 PM DUE TO AN ENHANCED SEABREEZE...BUT WIND SHIFTS WILL NOT BE DRASTIC WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW ALREADY IN PLACE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 53 PERCENT. MIN HUMIDITY........78 AT IGNITION...75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH AT IGNITION. OTHERWISE...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. TO 6 MPH LATE MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............81 62 52 42 24 16 13 7 4 WEATHER COV.........ARS WEATHER TYPE........FOG TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 45 47 49 50 51 52 52 51 RH..................94 90 86 82 79 77 76 75 77 20 FT WIND DIR......230 240 240 240 220 220 220 220 210 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............4 5 5 7 11 13 15 18 19 24 35 46 WEATHER COV......... ARS ARS WEATHER TYPE........ FOG FOG TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 48 47 46 45 45 45 44 44 43 43 43 RH..................80 85 89 93 95 96 95 94 93 93 92 93 20 FT WIND DIR......210 210 210 210 220 220 220 230 240 240 250 250 20 FT WIND SPD......5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............56 67 55 54 54 53 52 51 51 52 54 56 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 43 44 46 47 47 47 47 47 47 48 48 RH..................94 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR......260 260 270 260 260 250 240 220 210 210 200 200 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BC REQUESTED BY...FOREST RANGER MICHAEL THOMPSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120318.SHELT.02/OKX