FNUS71 KAKQ 191309 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESAPEAKE FOREST...MD. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 909 AM EDT MON MAR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL KEEP A PERSISTENT MOIST AND EASTERLY/ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...AT LEAST AN HOUR OR SO AFTER DAYBREAK. A WEAK AREA OF ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MARYLAND LOWER EASTERN SHORE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 TO 59 AT IGNITION...MAX 70 TO 72. RH..................74 TO 79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 TO 46 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION. SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 700 FT AGL AT IGNITION. 1200-1800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............56 52 52 52 54 54 54 53 53 53 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........FOG TSTM COV............NONE TEMP................51 55 58 61 63 65 68 68 68 67 RH..................93 80 75 70 67 65 61 59 59 59 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.5 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 8 8 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 2 3 5 7 10 14 16 13 12 LVORI...............7 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 ADI.................2 2 7 9 13 15 18 18 17 17 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 300-600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE SE SE SE SE E E E E NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 8 8 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....11 8 7 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 ADI.................19 15 10 7 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 5 6 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 1 2 4 6 9 14 17 17 16 13 LVORI...............10 10 9 6 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 ADI.................2 2 2 3 6 10 15 18 19 18 17 20 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...DEROSA REQUESTED BY...DON KRONNER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120319.CHESA.03/AKQ