FNUS71 KCTP 181556 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR HALDEMAN ISLAND...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1156 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... WARM MOIST AIR APPROACHING FROM THE WEST COULD TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS TODAY...MAINLY OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. LOW CLOUDS IN THE SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO MIX AWAY...BUT LEAVE AMBIENT MOISTURE HIGH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY DUE TO A SLOW MOVING BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. IN GENERAL...HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE VERY WARM WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH MAINLY DRY DAYS FOR TUES-THURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............95 100 100 99 97 86 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 53 54 57 60 65 RH..................87 92 92 82 73 63 20 FT WIND..........SE 3 SE 6 SE 3 SE 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........600 1000 1100 1700 2700 3900 TRANSPORT WIND......S 8 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 12 S 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 2000...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 2400...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH...DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............75 58 84 95 97 95 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................66 64 59 56 55 55 RH..................60 64 75 83 86 87 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 7 S 7 S 6 SE 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........3000 700 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 14 S 12 S 7 S 5 SE 5 SE 3 LAL.................1 2 2 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............93 91 91 91 76 76 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................53 54 61 65 66 68 RH..................92 86 77 72 72 65 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........300 500 1600 3200 4600 4400 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 2 S 3 S 6 S 8 S 12 S 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BERNARDI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120319.HALDE.01/CTP