FNUS71 KCTP 190055 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR MARIA FIELDS SGL 041...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 855 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY DUE TO A SLOW MOVING...BUT RATHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. IN GENERAL...HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE VERY WARM WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH MAINLY DRY DAYS FOR TUES-THURS. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0500...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............97 97 98 98 99 99 99 98 97 WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC TEMP................62 61 60 59 58 57 56 55 55 RH..................73 75 77 79 81 82 85 89 92 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 15 13 10 9 9 9 9 LAL.................2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1500...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............96 96 95 94 93 91 89 88 87 87 88 88 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT TEMP................54 53 54 56 59 62 63 65 66 67 68 67 RH..................96 100 96 90 84 76 73 71 68 65 62 65 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 0 0 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.5 4.3 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 LAL.................4 4 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............83 83 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP................65 63 61 60 59 58 57 57 56 55 54 53 RH..................69 73 79 82 85 88 90 92 94 98 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.9 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 13 13 15 16 17 17 16 15 14 12 10 LAL.................4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............46 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ISOLTD TEMP................53 54 60 65 69 72 RH..................100 100 81 66 57 52 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................3 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120319.MARIA.02/CTP