FNUS73 KDTX 191425
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKLAND 79...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1025 AM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MARCH 19.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVERHEAD WILL MAINTAIN TRANQUIL
CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW
THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. BUILDING AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS, BUT MOST OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR INTO THE EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1PM.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AT 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...500).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........51  51  50  50  49  49
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............74  76  77  78  76  74
RH..............58  55  55  54  57  61
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.1 3.6 3.8 3.3 2.5
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE (KT-FT)...300 400 500 500 400 300

$$
FORECASTER...CLARK
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120319.OAKLA.01/DTX