FNUS73 KDVN 191353
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPITZNOGLE PRAIRIE...PORT LOUISA NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
853 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER DAY OF AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY...WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS
WILL KEEP WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 14
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 37 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............67     73     76     77     75
RH..............78     64     58     54     55
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6    S 8    S 10   S 12   S 10
EYE LVL WND GST.10     12     14     17     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000    3500  6000   6500   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 29   S 31   S 30   S 31   S 37
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 38 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 38 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120319.SPITZ.01/DVN