FNUS73 KDVN 191405
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST SALT CREEK...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
905 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER DAY OF AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY...WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS
WILL KEEP WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 35
                    TO 39 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............68     72     75     75     74
RH..............81     66     60     60     62
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8    S 10   S 12   S 12   S 10
EYE LVL WND GST.30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   3600   5000   4700   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 30   S 35   S 36   S 36   S 39
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 31 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...TOM SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120319.WESTS.01/DVN