FNUS73 KLSX 191539
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GIRL SCOUTS RX...CHLOETA FIRE LLC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1039 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR
INTO THE REGION THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WITH THESE ABNORMALLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS...BUT THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH MIDWEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
                    MAILY THIS AFERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2 TO 5 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 8 TO 15 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTINESS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTYY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4000 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (13260 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH....ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST WIND 4 TO 5 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (34141 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW MOLDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120319.GIRLS.01/LSX