FNUS74 KLZK 191140 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR NO MANS LAND...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 640 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL START LOW THIS MORNING THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON TO EVENING. A STRONG AND VERY SLOW MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKANSAS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AND BRING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN AMOUNTS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE SEEN OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS WHILE THE LOWEST IN EASTERN ARKANSAS. FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE STATE WILL BE POSSIBLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............74 75 76 76 76 77 76 RH..............68 65 63 62 61 60 60 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 15 15 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 18 18 18 18 18 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 9 9 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.9 9 12 12 13 13 12 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 28 29 30 31 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 60 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 74 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 65 64 RH..............62 65 69 72 75 76 78 80 82 84 85 89 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.18 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SE TRANSP WIND SPD.32 32 31 29 26 24 22 21 20 20 20 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 80 80 80 80 80 80 100 100 100 100 100 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72. RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............64 64 64 65 67 68 69 70 71 71 71 71 RH..............90 90 88 84 80 76 73 70 68 67 66 66 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 11 11 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 25 28 30 32 35 35 35 33 32 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...BEN ROWLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120319.NOMAN.01/LZK