FNUS73 KPAH 191248 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR STEGALL MT...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 748 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BULGE NORTH INTO MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING MOST AREAS RAINFREE WITH NEAR RECORD OR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER... HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MOVING IN JUST OFF TO OUR WEST IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSOURI. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR TWO THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4400-6200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 29 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............71 74 75 77 78 78 78 77 RH..............67 62 59 55 52 49 49 50 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 30 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.4 4.7 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.30 29 29 30 31 32 35 37 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-3800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 39 TO 48 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 49 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 37 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 70 68 66 64 63 RH..............53 62 65 69 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 7 SE 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6200 5200 3800 2600 2100 2000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 39 S 44 S 48 S 49 S 46 S 40 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-6100 FT AGL LATE IN THE LATE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 36 TO 45 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............62 68 74 76 RH..............78 64 52 47 20 FT WIND......SE 5G10 SE 9G20 S 12G30 SE 11G30 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 3300 4700 5800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 36 S 39 S 45 S 43 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...AARON MIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120319.STEGA.01/PAH