FNUS73 KAPX 201925
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEMORABLE MIDDLE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
325 PM EDT TUE MAR 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1535 EDT ON MARCH 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM EARLIER THINKING...THOUGH WINDS
HAVE COME AROUND A BIT MORE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THAN JUST DUE SOUTH.
HIGHS HAVE JUST ABOUT MAXED OUT FOR THE DAY...WITH A GRADUAL DROP
IN HUMIDITY EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING AS MIXING HELPS LOWER DEW
POINTS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURE.........80 CURRENTLY...MAX 82.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH NOW...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH A
                    FEW GUSTS TO 17 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1600).

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............80  79
RH..............44  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.16  16
HAINES INDEX....5   4
SMOKE DISP......16001300

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........29  25  31  32  33  33  31  26  24  27  32  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............79  78  76  73  70  67  64  62  60  59  58  57
RH..............45  47  50  55  61  68  75  78  81  80  80  83
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...D-A BRABAZON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120320.MEMOR.02/APX